Northern Cairngorms - Issued 10/03/2010
Avalanche Hazard Forecast
FOR PERIOD 18:00HRS Wed 10/03/2010 TO 18:00HRS Thu 11/03/2010
| Hazard Level | Avalanche Probability |
| Low | Natural Avalanches very unlikely. Human triggered avalanches not likely. |
| Moderate | Natural Avalanches unlikely. Human triggered avalanches possible. |
| Considerable | Natural Avalanches possible. Human triggered avalanches are likely. |
| High | Natural and Human triggered avalanches will occur. |
| Very High | Widespread Natural and Human triggered avalanches will occur. |
| VIEW EUROPEAN AVALANCHE HAZARD SCALE FOR FURTHER DETAILS | |
Localized Avalanche Hazard
Forecasted Weather Influences
Overnight, the winds will be strong dry Westerly and the freezing level will rise to 1050 metres. During the day, the winds will strengthen, becoming North-Westerly with light snow showers and a freezing level of 900 metres.
Forecasted Snow Stability and Avalanche Hazard
Any new snow will drift and form unstable localised accumulations on mainly East to Southerly aspects in isolated locations mainly above 950 metres, corrie rims and gully exits will be most affected. Elsewhere the snowpack will moisten and will be generally stable. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate
Observed Avalanche Hazard - Wed 10/03/2010
Observed Weather Influences
It has been a cool clear sunny day with no precipitation. Winds have been light North-Westerly.
Observed Snow Stability and Avalanche Hazard
The snowpack continues to undergo freeze thaw cycles and consolidate in the surface layers. The snowpack is generally well bonded and stable on all aspects and at all altitudes. The avalanche hazard is Low.
Mountain Conditions
| Snow Distribution | Good general cover above 400m. hard and icy with crust. |
| Icing | Good conditions developing on crags and gullies |
| Comment | Freezing level rising and generally milder conditions ahead. |
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