NORTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 26/12/01 Snow showers have slightly increased the cover on existing patches and accumulated up to 5 centimetres at low elevations. The winds have continued from the West. One hard shear was produced about 20 centimetres down in a snow profile at Ciste Mhearad. The avalanche hazard is Low (Category 1). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 27/12/01 With significant snow amounts forecast and a wind shift to the South there will be rapid snow build up on North aspects. On some steep North aspect terrain above 1000 metres with old snow-ice deposits there will be unstable slab development. In nearly all locations these patches can be easily avoided. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: The plateau is still the best option for skinning around. Except for the most recent snow the easy gullies are mostly bare for the lower half. ICING: Slight improvement with the melt-freeze cycle of the past few days. COMMENT: Good time for some refresher practice with the avalanche transceiver. LOCHABER AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 26/12/01 A light dusting of snow exists at all levels. Some greater accumulations are present at the tops of gullies and sheltered hollows above 1000m. The avalanche hazard is Low (Category 1). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 27/12/01 Heavy snow is expected overnight and during Thursday before a brief warm spell later in the afternoon. Fresh snow accumulation will occur through out the period on many aspects. As the warm temperatures arrive later on Thursday afternoon, loose wet snow instabilities will develop on steeper slope inclinations, particularly on all Northerly aspects. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Dusting of snow at all levels. ICING: Freezing at all levels. Water-ice forming on paths and open slopes. COMMENT: Thaw later on Thursday bringing an increase to the avalanche hazard. GLENCOE AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 26/12/01 Light deposits of fresh snow exist above 300m: these accumulations are generally not significant. The greatest accumulation of snow is lying in sheltered hollows and in gullies above 930m on most slope aspects. These accumulations are lying as isolated patches. There is insufficient snow to warrant issuing an avalanche hazard at the moment. AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 27/12/01 Cold conditions will continue to influence the area during Wednesday evening and for Thursday morning. Fresh variable winds will become southerly with heavy snow showers above 100m. Where deep new accumulations form on steeper slopes instability will exist and an avalanche hazard will develop. These conditions will mainly be present in deep gullies and sheltered hollows above 800m: however with the variable winds steep slopes of all aspects will need some caution. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Light snow above 400m. ICING: Ice on rocks and paths above 400m. COMMENT: Looks as though winter snows are arriving. SOUTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 26/12/01 Snow is patchy with deeper accumulations to be found on mainly S aspects. Where soft slab overlies older snow ice colder temperatures have led to development of unstable faceted crystals and stability is moderate on steeper slopes. These areas are generally avoidable. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 27/12/01 New snow will be heavy and will fall in S winds however most unstable areas will remain on S aspects. Where new snow builds over existing snow patches the avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3) but these areas will be localised. Elsewhere there will be general covering. CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Patchy, S aspects hold most but cover is still thin. ICING: Much improved, watercourses likely to give best sport. COMMENT: Snowfall will be heavy throughout this forecast period. CREAG MEAGAIDH AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 26/12/01 Snow showers have continued on a fresh North-Westerly wind. Small and isolated areas of unstable soft slab have formed in the most sheltered of gullies and hollows on East to South aspects above 900 metres. Generally these areas are confined to the beds of the deepest gullies and are easily avoidable. Considerable (Category 3) avalanche hazard. AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 27/12/01 Heavy snowfall on a moderate variable becoming fresh Southerly wind will cause windslab to be distributed on to North-West to North-East aspects above 900 metres. As the snowpack remains still relatively thin, the beds and exit bowls of the deepest gullies ( e.g. Raeburn's, Easy Gully, Cinderella ) will be most affected. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Fresh snow at all levels. Cover remains thin but is improving. ICING: Still pretty poor but fresh ice is forming again. COMMENT: Not enough snow for ski-touring yet. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------