NORTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 9/1/02 There were very light Westerly winds and it is still 2 degrees above freezing at 1245 metres. Although the thickness of the moist surface layer is increasing numerous slope tests show no failure of this instability. The deeper snowpack is strong. The avalanche hazard is Low (Category 1). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 10/1/02 There is no precipitation forecast and with slight cooling the surface snow layer will strengthen. The deeper snowpack will remain stable. The avalanche hazard will be Low (Category 1). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Deep foot penetration in some places; specially around boulders and the base of some rock bands. ICING: Still lingering in the grooves and lower angle cracks. COMMENT: One good sign in areas with reasonable cover: the middle of the snowpack is still cold. LOCHABER AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 9/1/02 Cooler temperatures during Wednesday have helped slow the thaw of the existing snowpack above 1200m. The snowpack is generally well bonded and stable. Main deposits remain in gullies and corries with N and E aspects above 900m. The avalanche hazard is Low (Category 1). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 10/1/02 A dry and cold SW airflow overnight will see the existing snowpack gradually re-freeze. The snowpack will be generally well bonded and stable at all levels. Main accumulations will remain in gullies and corries with N and E aspects above 900m. During Thursday temperatures will start to rise, starting to thaw existing deposits, this will not significantly effect the hazard. The avalanche hazard will be Low (Category 1). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Best remaining cover in high N and E facing corries. ICING: Freezing level lowering to around 250m overnight. COMMENT: Just cold enough to stop the ice dripping on the summit today. Brief freeze/thaw cycle expected. GLENCOE AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 9/1/02 The milder conditions have continued through the period with moderate Southerly winds. This has led to a further reduction in the snow cover. The greatest amounts of snow are to be found in the higher corries and in sheltered gullies with a Northerly aspect above 900m. The snowpack is moist but is generally consolidated and well bonded. The avalanche hazard is Low (Category 1). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 10/1/02 A cooler dry South-Westerly airflow will affect the area overnight. The remaining snowpack will start to re-freeze and will be generally well bonded at all levels. Milder dry conditions on Thursday will not significantly affect snowpack stability. The avalanche hazard will be Low (Category 1) in sheltered gullies and on steeper slopes. CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Snow above 900m. The general cover remains thin. ICING: Patches of wet ice still exist on rocks above 900m. COMMENT: Cooler conditions overnight SOUTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 9/1/02 Temperatures are beginning to drop but not enough to start firming up the snow. It remains wet and soft but it is generally well bonded and stable. The avalanche hazard is Low (Category 1). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 10/1/02 After cooler conditions overnight the freezing level will rise to around 1100 metres. Snow will initially be crusty but as the freezing level rises it will soften at all levels. Snow will remain generally well bonded with the avalanche hazard Low (Category 1). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Easier gullies in higher Cairngorm corries are complete. Plateau areas are sparse. ICING: Subject to thaw at all levels. COMMENT: Some walk-ins remain hard work in soft drifts. CREAG MEAGAIDH AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 9/1/02 It has remained mild with the freezing level above the summits. The remaining, depleted snowpack is soft and wet at the surface but reasonably well bonded to the hard slab underneath. Largest deposits remain in the beds of gullies on North-West through North-East to South-East aspects above 850 metres. Although the avalanche hazard is Low (Category 1) there is still a risk of cornice collapse in the mild conditions. AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 10/1/02 After a cold night the freezing level will rise above the summits once again. This freeze / thaw cycle will only aid further the consolidation process of the remaining snowpack leaving soft but well bonded snow on all aspects. Largest areas will continue to be retained in the beds of gullies on North-West through North-East to South-East aspects above 850 metres. The avalanche hazard will remain Low (Category 1) with the risk of cornice collapse increasing as the temperature climbs. CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Patchy above 700 metres. Generally sparse. ICING: Ice at 1000 metres was collapsing and melting. Only the very highest ice has survived. COMMENT: Cornices above Centre Post and the Inner Coire. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------