NORTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SAT 2/2/02 The South-West winds have continued strong but precipitation eased off and only a few snow showers fell above 900 metres. The cooling has contributed to reasonable strengthening of the snowpack and stability where tested was good. There is a shear on an ice-crust layer but it does not have a critical load. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK SUN 3/2/02 A few snow showers are forecast with winds easing and temperatures remaining cold. Some pockets of instability will persist in areas above 1000 metres from North to North East aspects. This will be on larger steep slopes with a convex shape that have not been stabilized with heavy traffic. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Cover improving above 950 metres on all aspects except Southerly and Westerly. ICING: Lots of ice on the plateau. COMMENT: On some slopes there's still that clean shearing buried soft layer on crust lurking around for the unwary. LOCHABER AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SAT 2/2/02 A thaw last night followed by cooler conditions during Saturday have stabilised the snowpack. Snow-ice is forming on many aspects above 800m. The avalanche hazard is Low (Category 1). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK SUN 3/2/02 Light snow showers are expected overnight, clearing to a dry day on Sunday. Localised areas of fresh snow will form, mainly at the tops of N, NE and E facing slopes and gullies above 1000m. Any hazard will be confined to these locations. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). Elsewhere the snowpack will be generally stable. CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Good general cover above 900m. ICING: Old snow re-freezing at higher elevations. COMMENT: Winds moderating by Sunday. GLENCOE AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SAT 2/2/02 The area has been affected by mild conditions with some rain or sleet showers at most levels. The snowpack is moist below 950m and some wet snow instabilities exist on the steeper slopes. However above 950m the snowpack is drier and moderately well bonded. Some cornices are still unstable. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK SUN 3/2/02 A trace of new snow is expected during Saturday night: otherwise it will be a mainly dry day. The very strong SW winds will also decrease during Saturday night and through Sunday. The wet snowpack will consolidate above 800m but it will remain generally moist with any new light deposits of snow adhering well to it. Some moderately well bonded wet snow will still exist on the steeper slopes with an N through to E aspect above 850m. In these locations the avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Wet snow above 800m. ICING: Thawing, some wet ice above 950m. COMMENT: The higher routes should stay in condition. But it will be generally mild-ish. SOUTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SAT 2/2/02 Fluctuating temperatures have left the surface layers of the snowpack moist at all levels. On NW through to SE aspects above 900 metres moderately to weakly bonded layers are present in deeper deposits. The avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). Debris was noted at the foot of several Lochnagar gullies. AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK SUN 3/2/02 A cooler period overnight will re-freeze surface layers before the freezing level rises to 1200 metres during the day. On NW through to SE aspects above 900 metres the snowpack will remain moderately to weakly bonded on steeper slopes. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). Remaining cornices should be treated with caution. CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Good above 900 metres. Ski touring for those willing to carry skis. ICING: Lean but starting to show potential. COMMENT: It's winter above 900 metres! CREAG MEAGAIDH AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SAT 2/2/02 The freezing level dipped low enough last night to cause yesterday's wet snowpack to freeze and consolidate. An icy crust has developed on top of moderately well bonded hard slab with the deepest accumulations in sheltered gullies on North through East to South-East aspects above 800 metres. Light fresh snow showers over the summits are drifting onto these aspects but are generally blowing off on contact with the icy surface and have not formed any significant accumulations of new windslab. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK SUN 3/2/02 Occasional snow showers overnight on a strong South-Westerly wind will have little effect on the overall snow conditions. New windslab will fail to reach any significant depth and will continue to blow off the icy surface. Moderately well bonded hard slab will persist on sheltered slopes of a North through East to South-East aspect above 800 metres. The freezing level will also stay around the summits maintaining a breakable, icy crust on the surface. The avalanche hazard will remain Moderate (Category 2). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Main cover above 700 metres. ICING: Routes are thin, with poor quality ice at lower altitudes. COMMENT: There are large cornices above Bellevue Buttress and the Inner Coire. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------