NORTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SAT 18/1/03 Stormy conditions have deposited small isolated patches of slab on East aspects above 1000 metres. Instabilities were noted in this slab on an underlying softer layer. A cornice was easily triggered on this aspect at 1100 metres. Otherwise the limited snowpack is stable. The avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK SUN 19/1/03 Fresh winds from the South-West will carry sleet overnight. During the day conditons will be drier with little precipitation and winds veering to the North West. This will continue the build up of slab on all East aspects above 1100 metres. The instabilities from the previous day will still be present in localized areas. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3) CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Patchy above 1000m, some easy gullies still complete. ICING: Limited ice craft areas still available. COMMENT: Recent rockfalls in several Northern Corries gullies. LOCHABER AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SAT 18/1/03 Significant new snow accumulations are generally restricted to both above and below the main climbing crags on N and E aspects. This snow is moderately well bonded to any underlying older snow patches. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK SUN 19/1/03 Slightly warmer temperatures overnight will have little effect on the existing snowpack. The main new snow accumulations will remain above and below the main climbing crags. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Fresh snow lying above 700m. ICING: Ice reforming on many aspects above 800m. COMMENT: Winds remaining light. GLENCOE AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SAT 18/1/03 A light cover of snow is lying above 850 metres. Some deeper pockets of soft slab have formed in locations sheltered from the recent strong Southwesterly winds. These pockets are mainly to be found in the higher gullies and around the tops of North to East facing slopes. In areas where soft slab has formed on top of old snow stability of this upper layer is moderate however these deposits are not extensive and are generally avoidable. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK SUN 19/1/03 Rain and sleet initially on Saturday night will give way to dry and slightly cooler conditions on Sunday. With the return to drier conditions instabilities within the upper soft layers of the snowpack in high gullies and around the tops of North and East facing slopes will start to reduce. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2) CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Light cover of wet snow above 850m in sheltered Northern and Eastern corries. ICING: No ice at present. COMMENT: Higher buttresses and ridges have a thin cover of recent wet snow. This at least is giving a slight sensation of winter. SOUTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SAT 18/1/03 Overnight snow showers have deposited moderately to weakly bonded windslab in very sheltered locations on NE to SE aspects. Affected areas are localised with greatest hazard to be found on steeper scarp slopes and in gully exits. The avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). Elsewhere snow cover is superficial. AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK SUN 19/1/03 Heavy rain and a freezing level of 1500 metres will lead to a period of instability overnight on NE to SE aspects. By morning the remaining snow cover will be soft and wet. Moderately bonded layers may remain in steeper sheltered locations on NE to SE aspects. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Superficial light cover. ICING: Runnels of ice on Lochnagar, nothing too useful. COMMENT: Check evening weather forecasts for up to date information as wet bulb freezing levels are borderline for sleet/snow on higher summits. CREAG MEAGAIDH AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SAT 18/1/03 Overnight snow on a strong Westerly wind has continued loading fresh windslab on to North through East to South-East aspects above 850 metres. Deposits remain isolated to the tops of steep gullies and sheltered steep scarp slopes of the above- mentioned aspects. Slightly milder air temperatures through the day have begun a slow settling of surface layers. However lower density sub-surface layers still exist and field tests produced an easy shear of 30-40cm. The avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK SUN 19/1/03 Overnight much warmer air temperatures are forecast with high amounts of rain on a strong Westerly airflow. Recent fresh windslab deposits found in gullies and at the tops of steep scarp slopes of a North through East to South-East aspect above 850 metres will become increasingly unstable. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3) and avalanches are likely in these areas. As rain amounts moderate and air temperatures become slightly cooler snowpack stability will improve and leave isolated areas of wet soft slab. CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Snow down to 600 metres. ICING: Very poor still with no climbable routes. COMMENT: Looks like its back to grass, heather and puddles in my pants again! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------