NORTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SUN 21/12/03 Strong Northerly winds and moderate snow amounts to low levels have resulted in new slab accumulations up to 50 centimetres deep. Where this lies on the pre-existing small patches of snow-ice there is an easy shear. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK MON 22/12/03 Additional snow will be followed by rain at the end of the forecast period. This will create a significant snowpack instability on all aspects, particularly Southerly, above 1050 metres. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Heavy travel in drifted areas. ICING: Ice forming but nothing complete yet. COMMENT: Winter has arrived, "heads up" on avalanche thinking. LOCHABER AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SUN 21/12/03 Areas of soft slab are present mainly on steep SE through to W aspects above 1000m. Localised areas of windslab are also present on other sheltered steep aspects. The avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK MON 22/12/03 Fresh snow is expected overnight and during Monday with a gradual rise in the freezing level during the day. Unstable slab accumulations will continue to build, mainly on steep NE, E, SE and S aspects above 1000m. As the freezing level rises during the day, avalanches will become increasingly likely in these locations. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Fresh snow at all levels. Good cover on high plateaus. ICING: Freezing level rising above the summits during Monday. COMMENT: Rain at all levels by Monday night. GLENCOE AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SUN 21/12/03 Snow showers above 250m with strong Northerly winds have affected the area. Much of the fresh snow has been redistributed during the past 24 hours with the strong Northerly winds. The greatest accumulations of fresh snow are in sheltered locations above 700m with deepest deposits in gullies and sheltered corrie headwalls above 900m. On steep slopes above 850m on many sheltered aspects some shallow windslab is present. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK MON 22/12/03 Light snow showers will continue through Sunday night becoming more frequent and heavy during Monday morning accompanied by strong NW winds. These snow showers will turn to rain as milder weather affects the area giving heavy thaw conditions. The snowpack will become wet and saturated and unstable especially on steep slopes on most aspects. Where deep accumulations of fresh snow exists on steep slopes such as sheltered corrie headwalls, wet snow avalanches are likely. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Snow above 250m. ICING: No significant ice. COMMENT: A heavy thaw is forecast to start during Monday morning with the freezing level rising to well above the summits. SOUTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SUN 21/12/03 Snow showers throughout the period have formed deep drifts in sheltered locations from valley level. Many areas are wind scoured but localised deeper deposits exist above 700 metres on SE to SW aspects. These recent deposits overlie the ground and demonstrate moderate stability. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK MON 22/12/03 Further snowfall on NW winds will continue to build deposits in sheltered locations on E through to SW aspects above 700 metres. On steeper slopes new accumulations will be moderately to weakly bonded. The freezing level will gradually rise throughout the period to summit level. Steeper slopes and newly formed cornices will be suspect. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Cover has improved with wind blown open slopes and deeper drifts in places. ICING: Slowly forming. COMMENT: Significant temperature rise expected. CREAG MEAGAIDH AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SUN 21/12/03 Persistent snow showers on strong North-East to North winds have created deep areas of windslab at the top of most steep South to Westerly aspects above 850m. Stability in all these sheltered areas remains marginal and the avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK MON 22/12/03 Heavy snow showers on NW winds will persist until rain arrives very late in the day. Additional windslab will build on all sheltered, steep NE through S to W-facing slopes and gullies. The onset of rain will bring a decline in snow stability and avalanches are likely at this time. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Good cover of fresh snow at all levels with deep drifts on higher approach routes. ICING: Still poor. Thaw conditions forecast at all levels later on Monday. COMMENT: Very wintry with thigh deep drifts in places today (Sunday). -------------------------------------------------------------------------------