NORTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 24/12/03 During the last 24 hours, mild temperatures, strong winds and rain have continued to deplete the existing snowpack. The snow that remains is rain soaked and generally well bonded at all levels. The avalanche hazard is Low (Category 1). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 25/12/03 During the day the freezing level will drop to around 900 metres. There will be light showers, initially of rain but turning to snow, which will be blown on a strong SW wind. These will deposit isolated areas of slab on North to East aspects above 900 metres. The existing snowpack will freeze and become stable. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Shrinking quickly in the current mild weather. ICING: Should hopefully improve with cooler conditions. COMMENT: Beware a jolly red man on various chimney routes tomorrow. LOCHABER AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 24/12/03 Thaw conditions overnight and during Wednesday have further depleted the existing snow cover. Localised wet snow instabilities are present and generally restricted to steep N to E to SE aspects above 900m. Elsewhere the snowpack is wet and generally stable. The avalanche hazard is Low (Category 1). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 25/12/03 The current thaw will continue overnight and into Thursday. As colder conditions move into the forecast area during Thursday, existing wet snow deposits will refreeze and snow showers will start to form fresh areas of localised shallow windslab. Greatest accumulations will be at the tops of gullies and steep slopes with N, NE and E aspects above 900m. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Restricted to the high deep gully lines on the Ben, elsewhere only thin patches remain. ICING: Freezing level above the summits. Lowering to 900m on Thursday. COMMENT: Dramatic thaw conditions. Burns in full spate (24/12/03). Cooling down later on Thursday, Merry Xmas! GLENCOE AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 24/12/03 Heavy thaw conditions at all levels accompanied by strong W winds have saturated the snowpack. This has led to wet snow instabilities on all steep slopes above 750m. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 25/12/03 The mild weather will continue to affect the area. Rain and strong Westerly winds will maintain thaw conditions at all levels. The snowpack will consolidate after Wednesday thaw diminishing the extent of the snowpack. Some wet snow instabilities may still exist on steeper slopes around the tops of corrie headwalls. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Snow above 800m. ICING: No ice. COMMENT: Returning to wintry showers above 750m in the afternoon. "MERRY CHRISTMAS" SOUTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 24/12/03 A significant thaw has taken place in the last 24 hour period with deposits rapidly melting. In the remaining deeper deposits that are to be found in sheltered locations on E through to SW aspects wet surface layers are moderately bonded to the drier snow beneath. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 25/12/03 Heavy rain overnight and into Thursday will continue to saturate the remaining deposits before colder conditions arrive late in the period. On some steeper slopes in sheltered locations on E through to SW aspects remaining deep deposits will contain drier snow that will be moderately bonded to the wet surface layers. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Thawing rapidly at all altitudes with some drifts remaining. ICING: Aggressive thaw conditions. Rivers in spate. COMMENT: Freezing level lowering to 900 metres late in the period. CREAG MEAGAIDH AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 24/12/03 Mild wet conditions have resulted in a much depleted wet and stable snowpack. Avalanche hazard Low (Category 1) AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 25/12/03 A return to cooler conditions is forecast, with freezing levels dropping to just below summits later, accompanied by snow showers on strong Westerly winds. This will result in fresh accumulations of snow on slopes above 800m, primarily in East facing, steep sheltered locations and gully tops. The avalanche hazard will increase to Moderate (Catergory 2). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Scattered patches above 800m. ICING: None. COMMENT: Wet and windy with snow showers later. Any increase in hazard restricted to the highest slopes and gully tops. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------