NORTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SUN 4/1/04 There is a widespread surface rain crust and generally strong deeper snowpack contributing to an overall condition of good stability. There are a few small cornices on North aspect. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK MON 5/1/04 Snow is forecast with a high freezing level resulting in rain below 1100 metres. There will be some small pockets of slab building on East and South-East aspects above 1100 metres. Snowpack stability will become fair in moderate rain, particularly in areas of very thin snow cover. Cornices will be weakened. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Still skiable on sections of the plateau. ICING: A few more short ice pitches near complete but thin. COMMENT: Hopefully only a brief and slight warming trend. LOCHABER AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SUN 4/1/04 A brief thaw - freeze cycle overnight has helped to consolidate the existing snowpack. Snow stability is generally good with a surface crust present at all levels. The avalanche hazard is Low (Category 1). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK MON 5/1/04 Thaw conditions with rain at all levels is expected overnight and during Monday. Wet snow instabilities will be present on steep aspects and the tops of gullies with a North through East to South-East aspect. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). Cornices will be wet and prone to collapse. CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: General cover above 700m. ICING: Still limited and becoming wet below 1100m. COMMENT: Only the very top of the Ben may stay frozen tomorrow (5/1/04) GLENCOE AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SUN 4/1/04 The snowpack has started to become moist but remains generally stable in most places. Some isolated areas of soft slab exist in some North facing gullies above 950m. Where deeper accumulations of windslab exist bonding is moderate particularly on steeper slopes and the avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2) in these areas. AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK MON 5/1/04 Rain is expected to affect the area with the freezing level rising to well above the summits. The rain will thoroughly saturate the snowpack and wet snow instabilities will exist on all steep slopes mainly above 750m. Avalanches are likely particularly where deep accumulations of windslab existed on Northerly aspects. The bonding between surface layers will be poor and cornices will be prone to collapse. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Snow above 500 metres, rising in the thaw conditions. ICING: Ice on rocks and paths will thaw at all levels. COMMENT: Very wet climbing conditions. Danger of falling ice. SOUTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SUN 4/1/04 There has been some overnight snow loss under 900 metres but above this altitude cooler conditions have improved stability of recent windslab developments on E to S aspects. The slight rise in the freezing levels and light rain have not yet affected the snow which is moderately bonded. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK MON 5/1/04 The freezing level will be over the summits and there will be light rain. All recent deposits with reasonable depth on N through to S aspects above 900 metres will become increasingly unstable and avalanches are likely. Cornices will be prone to collapse. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Some snow loss on lower tracks. Remains reasonable on higher hills. ICING: Good conditions for growth but subject to thaw. COMMENT: Thaw conditions at all levels. CREAG MEAGAIDH AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS SUN 4/1/04 Rain and a steady rise in temperature have moistened the pockets of new windslab that lie on steep ground above 900 metres on North-East to Easterly aspects. The avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). Older slab on East to South aspects above 850 metres is beginning to consolidate, but some of these slopes and gullies are threatened by unstable cornices. AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK MON 5/1/04 Mild conditions and rain will induce some short-lived localised wet snow instability in the most recent slab accumulations that lie on North-East to East-facing gully tops, exit ramps and scarp slopes. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). The snowpack will continue to consolidate in all other areas but caution will be required anywhere below unstable cornices. CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Still reasonable above 500m but will deplete in mild, moist conditions. ICING: Forecast to thaw at all elevations - 'nuff said? COMMENT: The outlook is pretty mild and dreich. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------