NORTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 27/12/04 Warmer South-West winds with rain at all levels have been crossing the mountains. Weaknesses still remain in the snowpack especially with a layer of faceted crystals being observed at approximately 100cm down. Snow accumulations above 900m and on North through East to South-East slopes are affected. The avalanche hazard is Considerable(Category 3). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 28/12/04 Overnight winds with snow showers will cross the mountains from the West. Snow will settle above 250 metres. With colder temperatures expected any weaknesses will remain, especially on slopes of North-East through East to South-Easterly aspect above 900m. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Mainly on NE through E to Southerly slopes, deep in places. ICING: Bare crags with warm ground. Remnants remain in gullies and NE aspects in corries. COMMENT: Forcasted colder temps and more snow will help. LOCHABER AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 27/12/04 Heavy rain at all levels has produced a moist and unstable snowpack. Main instabilities are on steep slope inclinations above 900m, mainly on North-East, East and South-East aspects. The avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 28/12/04 A return to colder conditions overnight will stabilise the existing wet snowpack. Snow showers and strong W winds will start to form fresh areas of unstable windslab in sheltered locations. Greatest accumulations will be on steep North-East, East and South-East aspects above 900m, notably scarp slopes. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Existing accumulations mainly above 900m. Fresh snow expected at all levels on Tuesday. ICING: Freezing level lowering again overnight and on Tuesday. COMMENT: A surprising amount of ice starting to form on the Ben. GLENCOE AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 27/12/04 Below 900m thaw conditions accompanied by rain have stripped most snow from the lower slopes. Above 900m in sheltered Northerly corries some new wet snow accumulations are present. The old wet snowpack along with new wet snow accumulations are weakly bonded especially on steeper slopes. In these locations the avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 28/12/04 Snow showers will occur with strong Westerly winds during Monday night and through Tuesday. The old snowpack will consolidate with colder conditions but new windslab will form in sheltered areas. The greatest hazard will be above 750m on N through to SE facing slopes and in all sheltered gullies. Avalanches are likely especially where deep snow accumulations exist on steeper slopes. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Snow cover above 850m. ICING: Thawing below 900m but becoming colder. COMMENT: Forecast for new snow above 200m but very windy conditions. Caution is required where windslab has formed on lee slopes. SOUTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 27/12/04 Thaw conditions have removed most of the snow, leaving patchy areas above 900 metres. Surface layers of the remaining snow are moist but drier snow with moderately to weakly bonded layers still exist within deeper areas. Surface instabilies are evident on steeper slopes and debris was noted at the foot of the Black Spout. The avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 28/12/04 There will be a return to more wintry conditions. Snow showers and very strong winds will lead to rapid new accumulations on E aspects. Above 900 metres where these deposits form over older re-frozen snow-ice, stability will be poor. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Patchy cover above 900m. ICING: Only a few thawing areas left. COMMENT: Lochnagar haas very poor cover: crags are mostly black. CREAG MEAGAIDH AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 27/12/04 The upper layers of the snowpack have become soft, wet and poorly stabilised after a mild, wet day. Areas most affected are steep North-East to South-East aspects above 800 metres, especially those overhung by wet, sagging cornices. The avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 28/12/04 Much colder weather with frequent snow showers will bring about new windslab development on all North-East to South- East aspects above 800 metres. Slab stability will be poor with avalanches likely in these locations later on Tuesday. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Soggy, wet snow at all elevations on Monday. Tuesday looking much more wintry with blizzard conditions at times. ICING: Much depleted in recent thaw but some improvement in prospect. COMMENT: Poor hill conditions expected on Tuesday. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------