NORTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 29/12/04 With very strong South-Westerly winds and the freezing level above the summits the snow has become saturated on all aspects. Where snow accumulations exist on aspects North-East through East to South-West above 1000 metres, wet snow avalanches have occurred. The avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 30/12/04 Overnight, strong Westerly winds will continue with the freezing level well above the summits. Tomorrow the temperatures will become cooler and the freezing level will drop to 1200 then 1000 metres. Snow accumulations above 1000 metres and on North-East through East to South- Westerly aspects will become more stable. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Generally a thin snow cover but where accumulations exist the snow is deep and wet. ICING: Thin ribbons of ice remain in the back of gullies, but for how long ? Fingers crossed ! COMMENT: Forecasted cooler conditions may halt the disappearing act ! LOCHABER AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 29/12/04 Rain at all levels has produced wet snow instabilities on many steep slopes above 1000m. The hazard is generally restricted to steep North-East, East and South-East aspects where existing windslab is present. The avalanche hazard is High (Category 4). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 30/12/04 The thaw conditions will continue with rain at all levels. The snowpack will gradually consolidate at all levels and stability will generally improve. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Wet snow at all levels. ICING: Freezing level remaining high. Some thin ice still remains on the Ben! COMMENT: Possibly getting colder again on Thursday afternoon. GLENCOE AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 29/12/04 Heavy rain and mild conditions today are saturating the snowpack at all levels. Wet snow instabilities exist within the snowpack on steeper North through to South-East slopes and gullies mainly above 900 metres. The avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 30/12/04 Mild and very wet conditions will continue to affect the area for much of the period but cooler conditions later on Thursday will bring some relief to the current thaw. Wet snow instabilities will exist mainly on slopes above 900 metres with a gradual stabilisation of the existing snow occuring with lowering temperatures later in the day. Avalanches are likely where deep wet snow accumulations exist on steep slopes. The greatest hazard will be on North to East facing slopes and gullies The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Snow above 600 metres. ICING: Thawing ice above 600 metres. COMMENT: Mild wet and windy for much of period. SOUTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 29/12/04 Snow is thawing at all levels. Above 800 metres on NE to SE aspects deeper areas of snow have retained poorly bonded layers. These areas are generally avoidable. The avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 30/12/04 The thaw will continue at all levels overnight and well into the day before the freezing level drops to around 1000 metres. Largest areas of snow will be found mainly on N to E aspects above 900 metres.Remaining snow will be well bonded with the avalanche hazard Low (Category 1). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Patchy cover above 900 metres. ICING: Poor. Only a few thawing areas left with ice fall a main hazard. COMMENT: Lochnagar gullies are still lacking depth. CREAG MEAGAIDH AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS WED 29/12/04 Mild and wet conditions overnight and during Tuesday have resulted in a much depleted and soggy snowpack. Debris from loose wet snow avalanches was noted on steep South-East aspects above 750 metres. The avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK THU 30/12/04 Thaw conditions will continue overnight accompanied by heavy rain before a return to cooler weather later on Thursday. The cooler temperatures will help consolidate the now sparse snowpack, but a hazard from unstable cornices will persist above North-East to South-East aspects. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Much depleted general cover. Access paths becoming stream beds in thaw conditions. ICING: Poor. COMMENT: Nothing to recommend! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------