NORTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 9/2/98 Rain and mild temperatures continue to moisten and thaw the snowpack at all elevations. The cornices that remain over steep E to SE aspects are wet, heavy and prone to collapse. There is a Moderate (Category 2) hazard of avalanche on the scarp slopes immediately below these cornice lines. Stability is generally good in most other locations, although the tops of some N-facing gullies are becoming mushy in present weather conditions. AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 10/2/98 A dry period with somewhat colder temperatures will stabilise the snowpack at most altitudes. Low (Category 1) hazard of avalanche. CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Patchy again but with remnants of deeper drifts on plateaux. Wet, thawing snow at all altitudes on Monday. ICING: Heavy thaw conditions will be briefly interrupted by a cooler snap. Any slight improvement likely to be short-lived. Some life left in easy gully lines. COMMENT: Dreich. LOCHABER AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 9/2/98 The continuing thaw conditions have started to consolidate the existing wet snowpack. Some wet snow instabilities are still present on steep NE, E and SE aspects above 1000m. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 10/2/98 Slightly cooler conditions are expected early on Tuesday morning before a return to milder conditions later in the day. Some light snowfall is expected above 1000m. Localised deposits of fresh windslab will form, mainly at the tops of NE and E aspects above 1000m. Where these accumulations are of significant quantity the avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). Elsewhere the snowpack will be generally stable. CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Wet snow at all levels. ICING: Freezing level lowering to 1100m early on Tuesday and rising again later in the day. COMMENT: GLENCOE AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 9/2/98 The snowpack is soft and moist at all levels. Deeper snow lying on N to E facing corrie headwalls and in summit gullies is unstable. Remaining cornices are prone to collapse. Avalanche hazard Considerable (Category 3) AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 10/2/98 The mild conditions will continue to consolidate and stabilise the snowpack. Any remaining cornices will be prone to collapse. In summit gullies and corrie headwalls the avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2) CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Wet snow above 800m ICING: Thawing ice above 900m COMMENT: Climbing conditions poor. SOUTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 9/2/98 The present mild conditions are maintaining the moist and soft snowpack. The snowpack is generally well bonded only leaving some unstable snow at the tops of gullies and small soft cornices on N to E aspects. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 10/2/98 The mild spell will continue with little change to the condition of the snowpack. Where wet soft snow remains at the tops of gullies on N to E aspects the avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). Any remaining cornices will be prone to collapse. CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Starting to recede with most in N to E corries. ICING: Now disappearing with any formations likely to collapse. COMMENT: Buttresses starting to look bare. CREAG MEAGAIDH AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 9/2/98 A rapid thaw at all levels accompanied by heavy rain and very strong SW winds has led to the development of moderately well bonded wet slab. Gullies and slopes facing N through to SE above 800m have the deepest accumulations. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 10/2/98 The mild conditions we are experiencing will continue overnight and on Tuesday. There will be little change to the current snow conditions with the deepest accumulations of moderately well bonded wet slab existing on N through to SE aspects above 800m. The avalanche hazard will remain Moderate (Category 2). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Still quite a lot of snow in Coire Ardair and Inner Coire, but very patchy elsewhere. ICING: A lot of ice around but the thaw will probably destroy this COMMENT: Personally, we blame El Nineo or is it just a normal Scottish winter? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------