NORTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 18/1/99 Storm conditions have persisted throughout the period. Additional accumulations of new windblown snow have been deposited on many N to NE aspects. Where these are greatest on steep slopes and summit gullies a Considerable (Category 3) hazard of avalanche exists. AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 19/1/99 Continuing strong SW winds with snow showers throughout will see additional slab development primarily on N to NE aspects. Fluctuating temperatures will allow some consolidation of the snowpack, but the threat of rain to just below summits is a cause for concern. Where large cornices have developed above gully heads a High (Category 4) hazard of avalanche will exist. With the onset of any rain avalanches will occur in these locations CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Snow still lying at valley level, although thawing conditions below 700m on Mon. ICING: Difficult to tell at the moment. Fluctuating temps with a brief melt/freeze cycle will help conditions considerably. COMMENT: Wintry conditions continuing, any thaw at higher elevations (above 900m) expected to be fairly brief. LOCHABER AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 18/1/99 A strong SW airflow overnight and through Monday has continued to form areas of unstable windslab. Greatest accumulations are on sheltered steep slopes and gullies with NW, N and E aspects above 750m. Where these deposits are present the avalanche hazard is High (Category 4). Elsewhere the snowpack is generally stable. Wind blown slopes are hard frozen. AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 19/1/99 A rise in the freezing level to above the summits, with snow turning to rain overnight and into Tuesday is expected to lead to a period of high instability in the snowpack. Areas of unstable snow will be present on many aspects. Greatest accumulations will be on NW, N and E aspect above 700m. Wet snow Avalanches will occur in these locations. The avalanche hazard will be High (Category 4). Cornices prone to collapse. CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Cover from 500m, rising overnight. ICING: Freezing levels above the summits overnight and through Tuesday. Expected to lower to 900m by Tuesday afternoon. COMMENT: A period of wet and mild conditions prevailing. GLENCOE AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 18/1/99 The continuous strong SW winds and heavy snow showers above 750m have deposited further layers of windslab in sheltered areas. Deep soft slab with layers of hail lying on steep ground is very unstable. Where deep windslab lies on steep sheltered slopes and gullies the avalanche hazard is High (Category 4). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 19/1/99 Mild unsettled South-Westerly weather with heavy rain will saturate the snowpack at all levels. The rise in temperature will produce further instabilities in the already unstable snowpack. The avalanche hazard will remain High (Category 4). Deep accumulations of unstable snow will exist in gullies, corrie headwalls and steep slopes of most aspects where avalanches will occur. CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Fresh snow above 750m. ICING: Ice forming above 850m. COMMENT: Ridges and buttresses remain the safer option although conditions remain blustery and wet. SOUTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 18/1/99 Very strong W winds followed by S winds during the day have led to widespread drifting of recent snow. Some snow showers during the day along with the drifting have led to further deposits of weakly bonded snow on NW through to E facing slopes. The avalanche hazard is High (Category 4) especially on steep slopes above 850m. AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 19/1/99 Further light snow overnight before mild conditions thaw the snowpack at all levels. Rain associated with the thaw will leave weakly bonded deposits mainly on NW through to E slopes where avalanches will occur. The avalanche hazard will be High (Category 4). All cornices will be unstable. CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Strong winds have scoured open hillsides with deep accumulations in sheltered areas. ICING: The thaw freeze cycle will improve conditions. COMMENT: After overnight thaw freezing level lowering to 670m Tuesday afternoon. CREAG MEAGAIDH AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 18/1/99 Although there has been some consolidation at lower levels (below 800m), fresh snow on a strong SW wind is continuing to load existing unstable windslab deposits on NW through to SE aspects above 800m. Recent debris from massive avalanche noted in Choire Choille-rais. The avalanche hazard is High (Category 4). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 19/1/99 A rise in temperature in the morning will cause a period of high instability. Wet slab avalanches and cornice collapse will occur on NW through to SE aspects above 800m. Later in the day the freezing level will drop, helping to stabilise the underlying snowpack, but further snow on a SW wind will build fresh deposits of windslab on N through to SE aspects above 800m. The avalanche hazard will remain High (Category 4 ). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Deep snow at all levels. Skis recommended for getting about. ICING: Still building but generally buried. COMMENT: With some avalanches running 100m along flat ground, beware of avalanche runout zones. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------