NORTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS TUE 11-1-00 The prevailing winds have been South-West however local corrie winds have been from variable direction and contributed to some redistribution of snow. Temperatures above 1000 metres have been below freezing since late last night. The thin surface crust shears easily, results on the deeper crust were less consistent. A certain bridging effect appears to indicate better stability than shown in tests. Isolated super weak zones may produce wide propagation on the deeper instability. The avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3) AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK WED 12-1-00 The deeper instability will require significant load to produce widespread avalanches. Avalanches are likely on North to North-East aspects above 850 metres due to new snow load. Other aspects will be largely stable. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: New slab and crust on surface, dry snow below in highest elevations. ICING: A twelve hour freeze has added thickness to the boulder field ice. COMMENT: Limited options given this forecast. LOCHABER AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS TUE 11/1/00 Snow showers and strong SW winds have produced fresh areas of windslab above 1000m. Greatest accumulations are at the tops of NE, E and SE facing slopes and gullies. Below 1000m areas of fresh wet snow exist with surface instabilities on steeper slope inclinations. The avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK WED 12/1/00 Further snow and strong SW winds are expected throughout the period. Cooler temperatures during Wednesday will consolidate the existing snowpack below 1000m. Unstable windslab will continue to form in sheltered locations above this altitude. Greatest accumulations will be at the tops of NE, E and SE facing slopes and gullies. Unstable cornices will also continue to reform. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Fresh snow lying above 800m on Tuesday. ICING: All wind scoured snow slopes will be hard frozen. COMMENT: Climbing conditions likely to improve as temperature drops. GLENCOE AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS TUE 11/1/00 Thaw conditions with rain and some sleet have left the snowpack wet at all levels. On steep N to E facing slopes and gullies wet snow instabilities exist. In these locations the avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). Avalanche debris noted in Coire Gabhail (Lost Valley). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK WED 12/1/00 Fresh snow with strong SW winds will form new areas of soft windslab on sheltered slopes above 400m. The greatest accumulations of new snow will be on NW through to E facing slopes. Colder conditions during Tuesday night will start to consolidate the old wet snowpack. Avalanches are likely where new windslab has formed on steeper slopes and corrie headwalls and in particular the tops of summit gullies. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Snow above 650 metres. ICING: Thawing Ice above 700 metres. COMMENT: Buttresses the safer option. SOUTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS TUE 11/1/00 A brief thaw has helped to stabilise the snow pack at all levels. Moderately bonded snow exists in sheltered locations on N to E aspects above 900m but otherwise slopes are generally well bonded. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK WED 12/1/00 New accumulations will form overnight in sheltered locations on NW through to SE aspects. Where these fresh deposits overlie harder snow ice stability will be poor, particularly on steeper slopes and in gullies. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). Exposed slopes will remain stable. CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: The best cover is at present above 900m. ICING: Will improve with the return to colder weather. COMMENT: Refrozen snow on exposed slopes will become firm and icy. CREAG MEAGAIDH AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS TUE 11/1/00 Colder temperatures have helped to stabilise the snowpack. Moderately bonded windslab remains on N through E to SE aspects above 800 metres. In these areas the avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). Large cornices remain above N through E to SE aspects. AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK WED 12/1/00 Moderate snowfall overnight, followed by snow showers tomorrow (Wednesday), on gale force winds will build deposits of unstable windslab on N through E to SE aspects above 750 metres. Cornices will continue to form above slopes of these same aspects. The avalanche hazard will rise to Considerable (Category 3) with avalanches likely. CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Main cover above 800 metres, with N and E facing corries holding the most snow. ICING: Improving in colder temperatures but about to be buried again! COMMENT: Much colder summit temperatures tomorrow, ice axe and crampons essential! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------