NORTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 17-1-00 The maximum overnight temperature on Cairngorm summit was 5 degrees. This has softened and warmed the upper snowpack layers. Snow above the snow-ice layer is still cool and dry. Some evidence of wrinkling in the snow surface was observed. This indicates conditions for full-depth release are a consideration in areas such as the Grewat Slab, Coire an Lochain. Cornices are weaker. The avalanche hazard is Considerable (Category 3). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 18-1-00 Continued warm temperatures with very high freezing levels and additional load from rain will add stress to the snowpack. Remaining cornices are liable to collapse, possibly triggering slopes balow. This will apply to all aspects. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable (Category 3). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Moist snow on breakable crust gives about 15 centimetre foot penetration when travelling above 850 metres. ICING: Softening ice in the boulder fields and the more vertically inclined terrain. COMMENT: Recommended reading - a good book on wet snow avalanches. LOCHABER AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 17/1/00 Warmer conditions have helped consolidate the existing snowpack. The tops of gullies scarp slopes and corrie headwalls with NE to E through to S aspects contain localised areas of moderately bonded windslab. In these locations the avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). Large cornices prone to collapse. AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 18/1/00 The current mild conditions will continue for the forecast period. Localised areas of moderately bonded snow will be present. Greatest accumulations will be at the tops of gullies, scarp slopes, and corrie headwalls with NE to E through to S aspects. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). Cornices remaining unstable and prone to collapse. CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Best cover above 800m. ICING: Disappearing quickly off the buttresses. COMMENT: Hazard of ice and rock fall in thaw conditions GLENCOE AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 17/1/00 Cold conditions overnight have left the snowpack generally firm and stable. Icy crusts exist on windward slopes. On sheltered N to E facing corrie headwalls and in summit gullies patches of soft slab remain. In these locations the avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 18/1/00 Warm conditions with rain above the summits will make the snowpack soft and moist. Any remaining cornices will be prone to collapse. Soft slab lying in steep summit gullies will be potentially unstable. Elsewhere the snowpack will be soft but generally stable. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Soft snow above 650m. ICING: Thawing ice above 700m. COMMENT: Any remaining cornices prone to collapse. SOUTHERN CAIRNGORMS AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 17/1/00 Milder temperatures are in general thawing the snowpack at all levels. On N to S aspects recent wind blown deposits have now become soft and moist. Cornices are sagging and are very suspect with areas of ice beginning to fall. Observers witnessed a cornice collapse over a NE aspect. The avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 18/1/00 Dry mild conditions will continue to thaw the snow at all levels. On N to S aspects areas of softer wet snow will be moderately bonded on steeper slopes. Any remaining cornices will be suspect and ice will be prone to collapse. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: Moist snow at all levels. Still reasonable cover at present. ICING: Subject to thaw. COMMENT: Rock and ice fall will be a danger during thaw conditions. CREAG MEAGAIDH AVALANCHE HAZARD 1500 HRS MON 17/1/00 Mild, settled conditions have continued to stabilise the snowpack, which has become moist and heavy - especially on Southerly aspects. Patches of moderately well bonded windslab remain on steep North through East to South aspects above 800 metres. In these areas the avalanche hazard is Moderate (Category 2). Large cornices are still present above North through East to South-East aspects and these are very unstable and prone to collapse. AVALANCHE HAZARD OUTLOOK TUE 18/1/00 With the general thaw continuing the snowpack will remain moist and heavy but generally stable. Patches of moderately well bonded windslab will remain on steep North through East to South aspects above 800 metres. Some sluffing of snow and ice off steep rock slabs will occur. Cornices will remain very unstable. The avalanche hazard will be Moderate (Category 2). CLIMBING CONDITIONS SNOW DISTRIBUTION: The thaw continues but still plenty of snow above 700 metres, especially in gullies and N and E facing corries. ICING: Soft and running with water. COMMENT: Spring continues. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------