Snow and Avalanche Report

Northern Cairngorms - Issued 17/4/2014

Avalanche Hazard Forecast

FOR PERIOD 18:00HRS Thu 17/4/2014 TO 18:00HRS Fri 18/4/2014

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Hazard LevelAvalanche Probability
Very High

Avalanche Hazard

Widespread natural avalanches will occur, often continually. Frequent, medium to large sized avalanches, with long run outs, will occur on most aspects; the snowpack is weakly bonded in these locations. Rare extreme conditions.

Travel Advice

Widespread natural avalanches will occur. Human triggered avalanches will occur with single person loading on most slopes. Experience in avalanche hazard evaluation essential. Good visibility and very good route finding in mountain terrain essential. Awareness and avoidance of runout zones at low altitudes essential. Good group management and safe travel using mountain features essential.(eg: Ridges, protected slopes)

Widespread Natural and Human triggered avalanches will occur.
High

Avalanche Hazard

Natural avalanches will occur, sometimes frequently. Medium to large sized avalanches, with long run outs, will occur in the locations indicated in the reports; the snowpack is weakly bonded in these locations. Human triggered avalanches will occur.

Travel Advice

Natural avalanches will occur. Human triggered avalanches will occur with single person loading. Experience in avalanche hazard evaluation essential. Good visibility and very good route finding in mountain terrain essential. Awareness and avoidance of runout zones at low altitudes essential. Good group management and safe travel using mountain features essential.(eg Ridges, protected slopes)

Natural and Human triggered avalanches will occur.
Considerable

Avalanche Hazard

Medium to large sized natural avalanches possible. In locations indicated in the reports, human triggered avalanches are likely; The snowpack is poor to weakly bonded in these locations.

Travel Advice

Natural avalanches possible. Human triggered avalanches likely with single person loading. Experience in avalanche hazard evaluation important. Good visibility and very good route finding in mountain terrain is necessary. Good group management and safe travel using mountain features necessary.(eg Ridges, protected slopes)

Natural Avalanches possible.
Human triggered avalanches are likely.
Moderate

Avalanche Hazard

Large natural avalanches unlikely. Avalanches in steep locations are possible. Human triggered avalanches possible. The snowpack is only moderately well bonded on some steep slopes, or moderate to poorly bonded, in isolated steep locations as indicated in the reports. Elsewhere generally well bonded.

Travel Advice

Human triggered avalanches possible. Experience in avalanche hazard evaluation important. Good visibility and good route selection required, especially in steep locations as indicated in the reports. Good spacing between persons is necessary to reduce loading on slopes. Good group management and use of safe travel mountain features important. (eg Ridges, protected slopes)

Natural Avalanches unlikely.
Human triggered avalanches possible.
Low

Avalanche Hazard

Natural avalanches unlikely but in some conditions small avalanches in steep locations are possible. Human triggered avalanches not likely. Generally the snowpack is well bonded and stable.

Travel Advice

Human triggered avalanches not likely, generally safe travel conditions

Natural Avalanches very unlikely.
Human triggered avalanches not likely.
View Hazard and Travel Advice

localized  Localized Avalanche Hazard

Forecasted Weather Influences

Cold overnight, freezing at all levels. Warming during the day with freezing levels above summits. Dry with moderate strength North-Westerly winds becoming light South-Westerly.

Forecasted Snow Stability and Avalanche Hazard

Little change is expected the very firm snowpack will refreeze overnight and stability will be good on all aspects and at all levels. The avalanche hazard will be Low

Observed Avalanche Hazard - Thu 17/4/2014

Observed Weather Influences

It has been a cold day with very strong Westerly winds, some occasional light snow showers.

Observed Snow Stability and Avalanche Hazard

The diminished snowpack is firm and stable in all areas.
The avalanche hazard is Low

Mountain Conditions
Observed Mountain Travel ConditionsFirm snow- ice on most aspects, serious run outs. Cold clear conditions, poor visibility in showers. Winds 50 mph or so making progress very difficult and strenuous especially on the tops.
CommentsSnowpack very firm and icy - serious runout potential into rocks for falls and slips.

Key Snow Stability Observations

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