Northern Cairngorms - Issued 3/2/2012
Avalanche Hazard Forecast
FOR PERIOD 18:00HRS Fri 3/2/2012 TO 18:00HRS Sat 4/2/2012
| Hazard Level | Avalanche Probability |
| Low | Natural Avalanches very unlikely. Human triggered avalanches not likely. |
| Moderate | Natural Avalanches unlikely. Human triggered avalanches possible. |
| Considerable | Natural Avalanches possible. Human triggered avalanches are likely. |
| High | Natural and Human triggered avalanches will occur. |
| Very High | Widespread Natural and Human triggered avalanches will occur. |
| VIEW EUROPEAN AVALANCHE HAZARD SCALE FOR FURTHER DETAILS | |
Localized Avalanche Hazard
Forecasted Weather Influences
A dry night will be followed by snow showers during the day on moderate increasing to strong South-West winds. The freezing level will rise from 300 to 750 metres.
Forecasted Snow Stability and Avalanche Hazard
Significant drifting will lead to new windslab accumulations developing. Avalanches are likely on North to East aspects above 975 metres. Corrie rims, gully exits and steep locations will be especially affected. There will also be localised instabilities on North-West and South-East aspects due to cross loading. Elsewhere the snowpack will be generally stable and well bonded. The avalanche hazard will be Considerable.
Observed Avalanche Hazard - Fri 3/2/2012
Observed Weather Influences
It has been a cold, dry, sunny day with very light variable winds.
Observed Snow Stability and Avalanche Hazard
Moderate to poorly bonded accumulations of windslab exist mainly around corrie rims and gully tops on North-West to North-East aspects above 975 metres. Localised areas of surface hoar have also developed at higher elevations. Elsewhere the snowpack is generally stable and well bonded. The avalanche hazard is Moderate.
Mountain Conditions
| Snow Distribution | Thin cover above 750m, deeper accumulations have developed on Northerly aspects. |
| Icing | Good ice on some crags, buttresses looking dry but wintry. |
| Comment | Big change in the weather tomorrow after todays calm sunny day. |
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